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Urban world: The global consumers to watch. Dramatic demographic shifts are transforming the world’s consumer landscape. Our new research finds just three groups of consumers are set to generate half of global urban consumption growth from 2. Until the turn of this century, population growth generated more than half of all global consumption. But between 2. 01.

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This shift has profound implications for companies. What’s now important are emerging demographics: the latest report from the Mc. Kinsey Global Institute (MGI) finds that nine groups will generate three- quarters of global urban consumption growth to 2. These three demographic groups will generate half of all global urban consumption growth through 2. The retiring and elderly in developed economies This group will grow by more than one- third in number, from 1.

It will generate 5. To give an idea of its dominance, the 6.

Western Europe and Northeast Asia (Japan and South Korea). A closer look at this cohort reveals several findings: These consumers spend more per head than younger people, largely because of heavy spending on healthcare. But their consumption is about more than healthcare. In the United States, this group will contribute more than 4.

By 2. 03. 0, we expect to see a wider variation in purchasing power among the elderly than we see today. While many in the 6. Income inequality in the United States among those aged 6. People over 5. 0 bought nearly two- thirds of the new cars sold in the United States in 2. The elderly increasingly want to “age in place.” A decade ago, those aged 5. US spending on home improvement. By 2. 01. 1, this share was more than 4.

Video Who are the key consumers to watch? A look at the three groups that will shape global consumption over the next 1. China’s working- age population. By 2. 03. 0, this group will expand by 2. By 2. 03. 0, China’s working- age population will account for 1.

This group has the potential to reshape global consumption just as the West’s baby boomers, the richest generation in history, did in their prime years. Some highlights from MGI’s research: China is expected to spend 1. Sweden (1. 2. 6 percent). The 2. 01. 6 Mc. Kinsey Global Sentiment Survey of more than 2.

Chinese consumers are willing to pay more for new and innovative household products—double the share of their counterparts in North America and Western Europe. These individuals are more optimistic about their financial future and more willing to spend a greater share of their disposable income than previous generations. North America’s working- age population The numbers and per capita consumption of this group will grow modestly, by 7 percent and 2. And MGI research finds that many younger consumers are under income pressure, are poorer than the previous generation, and are more cost conscious.

Some notable aspects of this group: Today, the median net worth of the top 2. This group is becoming more ethnically diverse. In the United States, for instance, the share of Hispanic young adults (aged 1. Compared with older cohorts, young adults are 1. MGI has developed a framework that incorporates all the factors that influence consumption.

Tracking consumer attitudes and behavior is not sufficient if companies are going to capture key consumer markets. They need to understand the core drivers of consumption such as income and age, characteristics such as ethnic mix and education, and the timing of key decisions such as getting married, having children, and buying a house. We see three fundamental implications of this research for corporate strategy: Footprint matters.

With consumption increasingly dependent on per capita spending, footprint matters. Companies also need to continually adapt to evolving demographics and consumption patterns of cities—and even in neighborhoods within cities. Tailor products. Companies with the skills to develop tailored products and services to meet the needs of an increasingly complex consumer landscape can prosper. The variety of consumers that companies can serve has arguably never been more rich and diverse, both across regions and within them.

In many markets, companies may need to strengthen their skills in managing overlapping products and brands. Look closely at services. The growing share of services in overall consumption will, directly or indirectly, have an impact on all consumer- facing businesses. Services are growing faster than overall consumption as consumers spend a rising share of their income on, for example, travel and healthcare in aging developed markets and education in China’s cities.

At the same time, many traditional products incorporate complementary digital or physical services, and some products are being replaced by services. Download the executive summary(PDF–9. KB) or our full report(PDF–3. MB), and explore our comprehensive data set on emerging demographics on Tableau Public. About the author(s)Richard Dobbs, James Manyika, and Jonathan Woetzel are directors of the Mc. Kinsey Global Institute, where Jaana Remes is a principal; Jesko Perrey is a director in the Düsseldorf office; Greg Kelly is a director in the Atlanta office; Kanaka Pattabiraman is a consultant in the Silicon Valley office; and Hemant Sharma is a consultant in the San Francisco office.

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A gunman opened fire at the First Baptist Church in Sutherland Springs, about 3. San Antonio. The shooter is dead following a police chase. Omar Villafranca reports.